Horse Racing Selections and Handicapping Reports
Explanation of Report Terms
Here is a more detail explanation of what the figures in the reports mean, so they may be used more effectively. Grouped for a better explanation.
Race 1 HOU 02/03/15 D 1m-70y Clm 7500n2l 4 year olds And Up F&M Only Purse: 6500Race, horse, age/sex and mutual are self-explanatory information.
Dist Include distant and surface for today's race. D or d for dirt, T or t for turf and A for all weather surface.
Ranking section points out the top three contenders in Pace, Speed, Class and Power ratings. (Power ratings from Ranking Reports are included)
Breeding Figures: (Dirt-Wet-Grass-Distance)
Before looking at the breeding figures, glance at horse's life time stats. If a horse has had three or more outing on the surface or distance, Performance become a more important factor.
Breeding figures are very important in spotting longshots who have not been to the distant or the surface and have a 5 or more point advantage over most of the contenders in the field.
Scenarios: when races are switched to dirt due to the weather or first timers.
Indicate the number of days away since last race.(Days Back to last race)
Indicate the number of days away before last race. Was the bad showing last out excusable because of long layoff?
Last three Speed ratings - distant and surface:
Past Speeds are self-explanatory. The past surface/distance information is indicated as follows:
D(d for inner dirt) or T(t for inner turf) => dirt or turf track. X for off the turf.(Off track)
A single + or - indicate within a furlong longer or shorter.
+ or - followed by a numeric figure indicate the number of furlongs difference. (Rounded due to space limitations)
T => turf, same as today's distance.
D- => dirt, within a furlong shorter than today's distance.
T+3 => turf, three furlong longer than today's distance.
By looking at speed figures you can take a note of horses that has shown an improvement (SP3 to SP1), then look at the class of these horses compared to the rest of the field to see if there is possibility of another improvement, and if so, is that enough to make the horse a contender. (If the last race is a recent outing. (DB less than 4 weeks - preferably less than 3 weeks)
Running Styles and Pace: (Sty,Q,EP,TSP,LP,PACE)
Horses are divided into four running styles. E,EP,P and S.
Early (E) - Like or need to lead for a top performance.
Early-Presser (EP) - Is comfortable on or within 3 length of the lead.
Presser (P) - Is comfortable within 3 to 7 length of the lead.
Sustain (S) - Is comfortable running in the back of the field early in the race.
Quirin Speed (Q) - Desire to lead/Natural Early Speed (0-8)
These figures are calculated from past performance lines with more emphasis on most recent outings and the distance.
EP - Early Pace (Gate - 2F in sprints / Gate - 4F in routes)
TSP - Turn Speed (2F/4F to top of the lane - sprints/routes)
LP - Late Pace (stretch run)
Pace - A total pace figure calculated from Early, Mid and Late pace figures for comparison purposes.
Individual and total Pace Pars are included above each pace column.
The pace and running styles are very useful in visualizing the running of the race and the presence of a track bias which may favor one horse and not the other when watching a race. These figures usually draw a clear picture of how a race will run and who will be the KEY in the wagering.
- Speed Capability:
CLS - Class Ratings:
Class Ratings are a measure of horses' past level of competition. This figure compare the horses' past competitors to today's competition. Most recent races are emphasized in calculating the ratings.
The form figure is the accumulation of points for the pace moves, workout pattern and other factors that have shown to indicate if a top performance can be expected of the runner or not. These figures will usually help in spotting out of form favorites that may be beaten by overlooked longshots that have been on the way to top form.
There are over 100 factors that will earn a horse from -5 to +10 points each.
The total points figures are like adding things up into one total score, but as we have looked at different variations of other factors you can see it will be hard to represent a horses performance with one single number, and should only look at this total as a guideline for adjustments and selections.
I said adjustments because pace factors are not included in the total points. And, only when there is enough margin between the two horses' total points that you can overlook or down play the pace effects.
What is a good spread for selecting one horse over others depend on the race quality. As a rule of thumb I need at least a 5 point spread to consider a horse a solid win contender at a top track or an allowance race, and 10+ point spread for a horse running at a lower class track or race.
ANG (Angle Plays):
F: Beaten Favorite
B: Breeding Angles
f: Form Angles
o: Bullet work in past 10 days
s: shipper (Track)
t: track specialist (horses for courses)
b+: blinkers on
b-: blinkers off
L1: Lasix first time
HC: Hot Connections
Top Selections (P# field):
^- Power Advantage
The rest do not need detail explanation and will be covered briefly.
Jockey: Today's jockey. A C+ Indicates a positive change from last out, C- a negative change from last out and C= is a neutral change.
J: Jockey win % in Sprints, Routes or Turf depending on the race.
(will reflect Jockey/Trainer combo's Win% if HOT) Updated! (see HC above)
Trainer : Today's trainer. A C+ Indicates a positive change from last out, C- a negative change from last out and C= is a neutral change.
T: Trainer win % (will reflect Jockey/Trainer combo's Win% if HOT) Updated! (see HC above)
HLS: Horse's Lifetime Starts
HDS: Horse's Distant Starts
HDI: Horse's Distant In the money
HAS: Horse's All weather Starts
HAI: Horse's All weather In the money
HTS: Horse's Turf Starts
HTI: Horse's Turf In the money
HWS: Horse's Wet Starts
HWI: Horse's Wet In the money
Comments: (Finish/Total Entrants in last) - Last track (If Shipper) - comment for Last race
Com2: (Finish/Total Entrants in 2 Back) - comment for 2 Back Updated!
Com3: (Finish/Total Entrants in 3 Back) - comment for 3 Back Updated!